Hollison Journey

“The road of life twists and turns and no two directions are ever the same. Yet our lessons come from the journey, not the destination.” – Don Williams Jr

If I Were The Big XII Commissioner…

on November 30, 2008

First of all, thank God I’m not.

After hearing 7,000,000,000 different ideas on how to decide who wins the Big XII South three way tie, I decided to see if I could look at some numbers and figure it out.

To begin with, we all know this fact: OU, UT and Tech are all 11-1 teams. Which ultimately means they all are excellent teams. And since the head-to-head-to-head is a vicious circle,  it probably also means that they are similar in talent and excellence. And more likely than not, they each had an “off” day.

So, I decided to compare scores as evenly as possible. There were 4 teams that all three schools played this year (not counting each other): Baylor, Kansas, A&M and OSU. Lining up those stats, it looks like this:

UT Difference OPP OU Difference OPP TTU Difference OPP
Baylor 45 24 21 49 32 17 35 7 28
Kansas 35 28 7 45 14 31 63 42 21
A&M 49 40 9 66 38 28 43 18 25
OSU 28 4 24 61 20 41 56 36 20
TOTAL 157 96 61 221 104 117 197 103 94

What does this tell us?

* Defense/Points Allowed: 1. Texas 2. Tech 3. OU

*Offense/Points Scored: 1. OU 2. Tech 3. Texas

*Difference in scores: 1. OU 2. Tech 3. Texas

Ok, so that doesn’t help tremendously since the three are, once again, all good teams. Though just looking at that, I would say OU should win.

Let’s expand to the whole seasons:

OU Diff OPP UT Diff OPP TTU Diff OPP
Chattanooga 57 55 2 Fl Atl 52 42 10 E. Wash 49 25 24
Cincinnati 52 26 26 UTEP 42 29 13 Nevada 35 16 19
Washington 55 41 14 Rice 52 42 10 SMU 43 36 7
TCU 31 21 10 Arkansas 52 42 10 Mass. 56 42 14
Baylor 49 32 17 Colorado 38 24 14 KSU 58 30 28
Texas 35 -10 45 OU 45 10 53 Nebraska 37 6 31
Kansas 45 14 31 Mizzou 56 25 31 A&M 43 18 25
KSU 58 23 35 OSU 28 4 24 Kansas 63 42 21
Nebraska 62 34 28 Tech 33 -6 39 Texas 39 6 33
A&M 66 38 28 Baylor 45 24 21 OSU 56 36 20
Tech 65 44 21 Kansas 35 28 7 OU 21 -44 65
OSU 61 20 41 A&M 49 40 9 Baylor 35 7 28
636 338 298 527 304 241 535 220 315

Looking at this:

Defense/Points Allowed: 1. Texas 2. OU 3. Tech

Offense/Points Scored: 1. OU 2. Tech 3. Texas

Difference: 1. OU 2. Texas 3. Tech

So, bottom line….I have no clue. But my gut tells me OU. They dominate their opponent better than Texas in my opinion.

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